President Donald Trump’s Dismal State-By-State Job Approval | All In | MSNBC

President Donald Trump’s Dismal State-By-State Job Approval | All In | MSNBC


>>>IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION>>>IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY, ACCORDING TO WERE HELD TODAY, ACCORDING TO BRAND NEW STATE-BY-STATE POLLING BRAND NEW STATE-BY-STATE POLLING OF TRUMP’S JOB APPROVAL, HE OF TRUMP’S JOB APPROVAL, HE COULD LOSE THE ELECTION BY 300 COULD LOSE THE ELECTION BY 300 ELECTORAL VOTES. ELECTORAL VOTES. THAT’S A CALCULATION FROM “NEW THAT’S A CALCULATION FROM “NEW YORK” MAGAZINE EXTRAPOLATING YORK” MAGAZINE EXTRAPOLATING FROM THE LATEST DATA OF THE FROM THE LATEST DATA OF THE ONLINE POLLING GROUP CIVICS. ONLINE POLLING GROUP CIVICS. 419 ELECTORAL VOTES TO THE 419 ELECTORAL VOTES TO THE DEMOCRATS, STILL TO BE DEMOCRATS, STILL TO BE DETERMINED. DETERMINED. 119 ELECTORAL VOTES TO THE 119 ELECTORAL VOTES TO THE REPUBLICAN, DONALD TRUMP. REPUBLICAN, DONALD TRUMP. FOR MORE ON THAT AND THE 2020 FOR MORE ON THAT AND THE 2020 RACE, I’M JOINED BY THE SENIOR RACE, I’M JOINED BY THE SENIOR ELECTIONS ANALYST AT REAL CLEAR ELECTIONS ANALYST AT REAL CLEAR POLITICS. POLITICS. WELCOME TO BOTH OF YOU. WELCOME TO BOTH OF YOU. THANK YOU FOR BEING WITH US. THANK YOU FOR BEING WITH US. SHAWN, FIRST OF ALL, JUST SHAWN, FIRST OF ALL, JUST INTERPRET THAT FOR ME. INTERPRET THAT FOR ME. THAT IS A POLL ABOUT DONALD THAT IS A POLL ABOUT DONALD TRUMP’S APPROVAL RATING TRUMP’S APPROVAL RATING EXTRAPOLATED INTO IF MORE PEOPLE EXTRAPOLATED INTO IF MORE PEOPLE IN THE STATE DON’T LIKE DONALD IN THE STATE DON’T LIKE DONALD TRUMP THAN DO, HE MAY NOT WIN TRUMP THAN DO, HE MAY NOT WIN THAT STATE’S ELECTORAL COLLEGE THAT STATE’S ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES. VOTES. THEY PILED THAT ALTOGETHER AND THEY PILED THAT ALTOGETHER AND CAME OUT WITH THAT RESULT. CAME OUT WITH THAT RESULT. AS A POLLSTER, WHAT DO YOU AS A POLLSTER, WHAT DO YOU THINK? THINK?>>YOU KNOW, I THINK IT’S A>>YOU KNOW, I THINK IT’S A USEFUL KIND OF RULE OF THUMB USEFUL KIND OF RULE OF THUMB WHERE THINGS STAND. WHERE THINGS STAND. I THINK WE ALL KNOW THE I THINK WE ALL KNOW THE PRESIDENT’S JOB APPROVAL IS NOT PRESIDENT’S JOB APPROVAL IS NOT STRONG AND THAT THAT’S GOING TO STRONG AND THAT THAT’S GOING TO TRANSLATE TO A DIFFICULT TRANSLATE TO A DIFFICULT ELECTION FOR HIM. ELECTION FOR HIM. THE PROBLEM IS WHEN WE ACTUALLY THE PROBLEM IS WHEN WE ACTUALLY GET TO THE ELECTION, IT’S NOT GET TO THE ELECTION, IT’S NOT GOING TO BE JUST ANY DEMOCRAT GOING TO BE JUST ANY DEMOCRAT WHO’S RUNNING AGAINST HIM, IT’S WHO’S RUNNING AGAINST HIM, IT’S GOING TO BE A DEMOCRAT WITH REAL GOING TO BE A DEMOCRAT WITH REAL POLICIES, SOME OF WHICH WILL BE POLICIES, SOME OF WHICH WILL BE POPULAR, SOME OF WHICH WILL BE POPULAR, SOME OF WHICH WILL BE LESS SO. LESS SO. THAT’S GOING TO SHAPE THE THAT’S GOING TO SHAPE THE DIRECTION OF THE 2020 ELECTION. DIRECTION OF THE 2020 ELECTION.>>SO THAT’S AN IMPORTANT POINT,>>SO THAT’S AN IMPORTANT POINT, THAT THE PRESIDENT OR DONALD THAT THE PRESIDENT OR DONALD TRUMP CAN BE UNDERWATER IN TERMS TRUMP CAN BE UNDERWATER IN TERMS OF POPULARITY OR MORE PEOPLE CAN OF POPULARITY OR MORE PEOPLE CAN THINK HE’S POPUNPOPULAR THAN THINK HE’S POPUNPOPULAR THAN POPULAR BUT IT’S RELATIVE TO WHO POPULAR BUT IT’S RELATIVE TO WHO HE’S RUNNING AGAINST. HE’S RUNNING AGAINST.>>YEAH, AND WE SAW THAT VERY>>YEAH, AND WE SAW THAT VERY CLEARLY IN 2016 WHEN YOU SAW TWO CLEARLY IN 2016 WHEN YOU SAW TWO CANDIDATES WHO WERE UNPOPULAR CANDIDATES WHO WERE UNPOPULAR AND VOTERS WERE HAVING TO MAKE AND VOTERS WERE HAVING TO MAKE THE CHOICE OF THE LESSER OF TWO THE CHOICE OF THE LESSER OF TWO EVILS. EVILS. I THINK THERE’S A CONSTITUTIONAL I THINK THERE’S A CONSTITUTIONAL REQUIREMENT THAT SOMEBODY POINTS REQUIREMENT THAT SOMEBODY POINTS THIS OUT BUT THE POLLS AREN’T THIS OUT BUT THE POLLS AREN’T PREDICTIVE YET BECAUSE WE DON’T PREDICTIVE YET BECAUSE WE DON’T KNOW WHO THE CANDIDATE IS AND KNOW WHO THE CANDIDATE IS AND THERE’S STILL SO MUCH LEFT TO THERE’S STILL SO MUCH LEFT TO HAPPEN IN THIS CAMPAIGN. HAPPEN IN THIS CAMPAIGN.>>SEAN, THERE IS A POLL FROM>>SEAN, THERE IS A POLL FROM REAL CLEAR POLITICS THAT TALKS REAL CLEAR POLITICS THAT TALKS ABOUT DONALD TRUMP’S APPROVAL ABOUT DONALD TRUMP’S APPROVAL RATINGS. RATINGS. INSOFAR AS THESE NUMBERS INSOFAR AS THESE NUMBERS INDICATE, THEY’RE IN LINE WITH INDICATE, THEY’RE IN LINE WITH THE POLLING THAT “NEW YORK” THE POLLING THAT “NEW YORK” MAGAZINE USED. MAGAZINE USED. 43% APPROVE, 53% DISAPPROVE. 43% APPROVE, 53% DISAPPROVE. THERE’S NOT A TON OF MOVEMENT IN THERE’S NOT A TON OF MOVEMENT IN THESE NUMBERS. THESE NUMBERS.>>NO.>>NO. THE PRESIDENT’S JOB APPROVAL IS THE PRESIDENT’S JOB APPROVAL IS REMARKABLY CONSISTENT OVER THE REMARKABLY CONSISTENT OVER THE LAST ALMOST YEAR AT THIS POINT. LAST ALMOST YEAR AT THIS POINT. SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 42%, 41% ON SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 42%, 41% ON THE LOW END. THE LOW END. SOMETIMES IT GETS UP TO 45%. SOMETIMES IT GETS UP TO 45%. LOOK, IF IT STAYS IN THAT BAND, LOOK, IF IT STAYS IN THAT BAND, HE’S GOING TO HAVE A VERY, VERY HE’S GOING TO HAVE A VERY, VERY DIFFICULT TIME WINNING DIFFICULT TIME WINNING RE-ELECTION, THERE’S NO DOUBT RE-ELECTION, THERE’S NO DOUBT ABOUT THAT. ABOUT THAT.>>THERE ARE SOME PLACES,>>THERE ARE SOME PLACES, THOUGH, ARIEL, THAT YOU WOULDN’T THOUGH, ARIEL, THAT YOU WOULDN’T THINK A REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT THINK A REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT WOULD HAVE A TOUGH TIME WINNING WOULD HAVE A TOUGH TIME WINNING RE-ELECTION BUT TEXAS COMES UP RE-ELECTION BUT TEXAS COMES UP TO COME UP AS A TOPIC, A STATE TO COME UP AS A TOPIC, A STATE THAT IS IN PLAY. THAT IS IN PLAY. POLITICO WRITES WROEGT FROM WILL POLITICO WRITES WROEGT FROM WILL HURD, IF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY IN HURD, IF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY IN TEXAS DOESN’T START LOOKING LIKE TEXAS DOESN’T START LOOKING LIKE TEXAS, THERE WON’T BE A TEXAS, THERE WON’T BE A REPUBLICAN PARTY IN TEXAS, SAID REPUBLICAN PARTY IN TEXAS, SAID RETIRING CONGRESSMAN WILL HURD. RETIRING CONGRESSMAN WILL HURD. LAST CYCLE WAS WITHOUT A DOUBT A LAST CYCLE WAS WITHOUT A DOUBT A WAKE-UP CALL TO MOST ELECTED WAKE-UP CALL TO MOST ELECTED OFFICIALS. OFFICIALS. TEXAS IS INDEED PURPLE. TEXAS IS INDEED PURPLE. DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE IS LEADING A DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE IS LEADING A LOT OF THAT. LOT OF THAT. THAT’S NOT JUST DONALD TRUMP’S THAT’S NOT JUST DONALD TRUMP’S UNPOPULARITY. UNPOPULARITY.>>YEAH.>>YEAH. AND I MEAN I THINK TEXAS IS ONE AND I MEAN I THINK TEXAS IS ONE OF THOSE STATES THAT’S SO OF THOSE STATES THAT’S SO HEAVILY SYMBOLIC THAT THERE’S HEAVILY SYMBOLIC THAT THERE’S ALWAYS A LOT OF ATTENTION TO ALWAYS A LOT OF ATTENTION TO WHETHER THIS IS GOING TO BE THE WHETHER THIS IS GOING TO BE THE CYCLE THAT IT FINALLY FLIPS. CYCLE THAT IT FINALLY FLIPS. BUT THE FACT THAT WE’RE TALKING BUT THE FACT THAT WE’RE TALKING ABOUT THAT DOES MEAN SOMETHING. ABOUT THAT DOES MEAN SOMETHING. YOU KNOW, DEMOGRAPHICS ALWAYS YOU KNOW, DEMOGRAPHICS ALWAYS SORT OF TEND TO LAG AT THE SORT OF TEND TO LAG AT THE BALLOT BOX BEHIND WHAT’S BALLOT BOX BEHIND WHAT’S ACTUALLY HAPPENING IN THE ACTUALLY HAPPENING IN THE STATES, BUT WE’LL SEE WHETHER STATES, BUT WE’LL SEE WHETHER THAT CAN ACTUALLY CATCH UP THIS THAT CAN ACTUALLY CATCH UP THIS TIME AROUND. TIME AROUND.>>SEAN, THE DEMOCRATS HAVE PUT>>SEAN, THE DEMOCRATS HAVE PUT IN POLLING AND FUND-RAISING IN POLLING AND FUND-RAISING GOALS TO ENSURE THEY DON’T HAVE GOALS TO ENSURE THEY DON’T HAVE 25 PEOPLE ON A STAGE AT THE NEXT 25 PEOPLE ON A STAGE AT THE NEXT DEBATE. DEBATE. ABOUT NINE PEOPLE I THINK HAVE ABOUT NINE PEOPLE I THINK HAVE QUALIFIED SO FAR. QUALIFIED SO FAR. IN TERMS OF THE FUND-RAISING IN TERMS OF THE FUND-RAISING PART OF IT, THE NUMBER OF PART OF IT, THE NUMBER OF INDIVIDUAL DOERPNORS, AND THAT INDIVIDUAL DOERPNORS, AND THAT MEANS THEY CAN GIVE ANY AMOUNT MEANS THEY CAN GIVE ANY AMOUNT OF MONEY, TOM STEYER HAS OF MONEY, TOM STEYER HAS QUALIFIED ON THAT FRONT. QUALIFIED ON THAT FRONT. HE STILL NEEDS ONE MORE POLL IN HE STILL NEEDS ONE MORE POLL IN WHICH HE’S ABOVE 2% IN ORDER TO WHICH HE’S ABOVE 2% IN ORDER TO QUALIFY. QUALIFY. THAT HAS LED TO A LOT OF THAT HAS LED TO A LOT OF CRITICISM THAT THESE DNC RULES CRITICISM THAT THESE DNC RULES ABOUT THE NUMBER OF DONORS ARE ABOUT THE NUMBER OF DONORS ARE OUT OF STEP WITH POLLING AND OUT OF STEP WITH POLLING AND ALLOW A GUY AS RICH AS TOM ALLOW A GUY AS RICH AS TOM STEYER TO SOME EXTENT TO BUY HIS STEYER TO SOME EXTENT TO BUY HIS WAY. WAY. STEVE BULLOCK SAID TO BUY HIS STEVE BULLOCK SAID TO BUY HIS WAY ONTO THE DEBATE STAGE. WAY ONTO THE DEBATE STAGE.>>WELL, I CAN UNDERSTAND HOW>>WELL, I CAN UNDERSTAND HOW SOMEONE LIKE GOVERNOR BULLOCK OR SOMEONE LIKE GOVERNOR BULLOCK OR SENATOR GILLIBRAND OR SOME OF SENATOR GILLIBRAND OR SOME OF THESE CANDIDATES WHO HAVE BEEN THESE CANDIDATES WHO HAVE BEEN IN AND ARE STRUGGLING TO MAKE IN AND ARE STRUGGLING TO MAKE THE STAGE COULD BE FRUSTRATED. THE STAGE COULD BE FRUSTRATED. BUT LOOK, STEYER, THE ONLY WAY BUT LOOK, STEYER, THE ONLY WAY HE CAN MAKE THAT STAGE IS IF HE HE CAN MAKE THAT STAGE IS IF HE CONVINCES 130,000 PEOPLE TO GIVE CONVINCES 130,000 PEOPLE TO GIVE HIM A DOLLAR. HIM A DOLLAR. AND IF HE GETS SOME LEVEL OF AND IF HE GETS SOME LEVEL OF SUPPORT IN THE POLLS. SUPPORT IN THE POLLS. THAT’S WHAT THESE CUTOFFS ARE THAT’S WHAT THESE CUTOFFS ARE MEANT TO DO. MEANT TO DO. IT’S MEANT TO ASSURE THAT THIS IT’S MEANT TO ASSURE THAT THIS LATE IN THE GAME THERE’S AT LATE IN THE GAME THERE’S AT LEAST SOME LEVEL OF SUPPORT FOR LEAST SOME LEVEL OF SUPPORT FOR THE CANDIDATES. THE CANDIDATES. I THINK WHEN WE GET TO NOVEMBER I THINK WHEN WE GET TO NOVEMBER STEYER WILL HAVE A MUCH TOUGHER STEYER WILL HAVE A MUCH TOUGHER TIME MAKING THAT CUTOFF. TIME MAKING THAT CUTOFF.>>AND THEY CAN INCREASE THE>>AND THEY CAN INCREASE THE POLLING REQUIREMENT, BUT IS POLLING REQUIREMENT, BUT IS THERE SOME ARGUMENT TO BE MADE THERE SOME ARGUMENT TO BE MADE FOR THE UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCE FOR THE UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCE OF TALKING ABOUT THE NUMBER OF OF TALKING ABOUT THE NUMBER OF DONORS RESULTING IN CANDIDATES DONORS RESULTING IN CANDIDATES SPENDING FAR MORE THAN A DOLLAR SPENDING FAR MORE THAN A DOLLAR TO GET A DOLLAR FROM A DONOR? TO GET A DOLLAR FROM A DONOR?>>YEAH, YOU CERTAINLY HAVE>>YEAH, YOU CERTAINLY HAVE CREATED A SET OF INCENTIVES CREATED A SET OF INCENTIVES WHERE THAT’S WHAT CANDIDATES ARE WHERE THAT’S WHAT CANDIDATES ARE GOING TO FOCUS ON IF THOSE ARE GOING TO FOCUS ON IF THOSE ARE THE REQUIREMENTS. THE REQUIREMENTS. LOOK, I DON’T KNOW IF THERE’S LOOK, I DON’T KNOW IF THERE’S ANY PARTICULAR PERFECT WAY TO ANY PARTICULAR PERFECT WAY TO MAKE THE CUTOFF, BUT EVENTUALLY MAKE THE CUTOFF, BUT EVENTUALLY THIS FIELD WILL HAVE TO START THIS FIELD WILL HAVE TO START WINNOWING DOWN AND VOTERS WILL WINNOWING DOWN AND VOTERS WILL HAVE TO FOCUS ON A COUPLE OF HAVE TO FOCUS ON A COUPLE OF REALISTIC OPTIONS. REALISTIC OPTIONS.>>SEAN, LET’S TALK ABOUT WHITE>>SEAN, LET’S TALK ABOUT WHITE NATIONALISM AND THE ROLE THAT’S NATIONALISM AND THE ROLE THAT’S GOING TO PLAY. GOING TO PLAY. PEOPLE HAVE THOUGHT IT’S A PEOPLE HAVE THOUGHT IT’S A THREAT FOR A LONG TIME BUT IT’S THREAT FOR A LONG TIME BUT IT’S POSSIBLE IT BECOMES CENTRAL TO POSSIBLE IT BECOMES CENTRAL TO THE ELECTION. THE ELECTION. A RECENT HUFF POST/UGOV POLL A RECENT HUFF POST/UGOV POLL ASKED IS WHITE NATIONALISM A ASKED IS WHITE NATIONALISM A THREAT TO THE UNITED STATES. THREAT TO THE UNITED STATES. 56 SAID YES. 56 SAID YES. DO YOU THINK PRESIDENT TRUMP DO YOU THINK PRESIDENT TRUMP SUPPORTS WHITE NATIONALISM, 44% SUPPORTS WHITE NATIONALISM, 44% SAID YES. SAID YES. HOW DOES DONALD TRUMP DEAL WITH HOW DOES DONALD TRUMP DEAL WITH THIS? THIS?>>WELL, I THINK DONALD TRUMP IS>>WELL, I THINK DONALD TRUMP IS JUST DONALD TRUMP AND HE DOES JUST DONALD TRUMP AND HE DOES WHAT HE THINKS. WHAT HE THINKS. I DON’T KNOW THAT THERE’S ANY I DON’T KNOW THAT THERE’S ANY WAY HE PARTICULARLY DEALS WITH WAY HE PARTICULARLY DEALS WITH IT. IT. IT’S A BLEMISH ON HIS IT’S A BLEMISH ON HIS ADMINISTRATION, IT’S A BLEMISH ADMINISTRATION, IT’S A BLEMISH ON HIS RECORD. ON HIS RECORD. WHAT HIS STRATEGY PROBABLY IS, WHAT HIS STRATEGY PROBABLY IS, IS TO TRY TO SCARE PEOPLE ABOUT IS TO TRY TO SCARE PEOPLE ABOUT THE DEMOCRATS AND HOPE THAT THE

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