Joi Ito: Want to innovate? Become a “now-ist”

Joi Ito: Want to innovate? Become a “now-ist”


On March 10, 2011, I was in Cambridge at the MIT Media Lab meeting with faculty, students and staff, and we were trying to figure out whether I should be the next director. That night, at midnight, a magnitude 9 earthquake hit off of the Pacific coast of Japan. My wife and family were in Japan, and as the news started to come in, I was panicking. I was looking at the news streams and listening to the press conferences of the government officials and the Tokyo Power Company, and hearing about this explosion at the nuclear reactors and this cloud of fallout that was headed towards our house which was only about 200 kilometers away. And the people on TV weren’t telling us anything that we wanted to hear. I wanted to know what was going on with the reactor, what was going on with the radiation, whether my family was in danger. So I did what instinctively felt like the right thing, which was to go onto the Internet and try to figure out if I could take matters into my own hands. On the Net, I found there were a lot of other people like me trying to figure out what was going on, and together we sort of loosely formed a group and we called it Safecast, and we decided we were going to try to measure the radiation and get the data out to everybody else, because it was clear that the government wasn’t going to be doing this for us. Three years later, we have 16 million data points, we have designed our own Geiger counters that you can download the designs and plug it into the network. We have an app that shows you most of the radiation in Japan
and other parts of the world. We are arguably one of the most successful citizen science projects in the world, and we have created the largest open dataset of radiation measurements. And the interesting thing here is how did — (Applause) — Thank you. How did a bunch of amateurs who really didn’t know what we were doing somehow come together and do what NGOs and the government were completely incapable of doing? And I would suggest that this has something to do with the Internet. It’s not a fluke. It wasn’t luck, and it wasn’t because it was us. It helped that it was an event that pulled everybody together, but it was a new way of doing things that was enabled by the Internet and a lot of the other things that were going on, and I want to talk a little bit about what those new principles are. So remember before the Internet? (Laughter) I call this B.I. Okay? So, in B.I., life was simple. Things were Euclidian, Newtonian, somewhat predictable. People actually tried to predict the future, even the economists. And then the Internet happened, and the world became extremely complex, extremely low-cost, extremely fast, and those Newtonian laws that we so dearly cherished turned out to be just local ordinances, and what we found was that in this completely unpredictable world that most of the people who were surviving were working with sort of a different set of principles, and I want to talk a little bit about that. Before the Internet, if you remember, when we tried to create services, what you would do is you’d create the hardware layer and the
network layer and the software and it would cost millions of dollars to do anything that was substantial. So when it costs millions of dollars
to do something substantial, what you would do is you’d get an MBA who would write a plan and get the money from V.C.s or big companies, and then you’d hire the designers and the engineers, and they’d build the thing. This is the Before Internet, B.I., innovation model. What happened after the Internet was the cost of innovation went down so much because the cost of collaboration,
the cost of distribution, the cost of communication, and Moore’s Law made it so that the cost of trying a new thing became nearly zero, and so you would have Google, Facebook, Yahoo, students that didn’t have permission — permissionless innovation — didn’t have permission, didn’t have PowerPoints, they just built the thing, then they raised the money, and then they sort of figured out a business plan and maybe later on they hired some MBAs. So the Internet caused innovation, at least in software and services, to go from an MBA-driven innovation model to a designer-engineer-driven innovation model, and it pushed innovation to the edges, to the dorm rooms, to the startups, away from the large institutions, the stodgy old institutions that had the power and the money and the authority. And we all know this. We all know
this happened on the Internet. It turns out it’s happening in other things, too. Let me give you some examples. So at the Media Lab, we don’t just do hardware. We do all kinds of things. We do biology, we do hardware, and Nicholas Negroponte
famously said, “Demo or die,” as opposed to “Publish or perish,” which was the traditional academic way of thinking. And he often said, the demo only has to work once, because the primary mode of us impacting the world was through large companies being inspired by us and creating products like
the Kindle or Lego Mindstorms. But today, with the ability to deploy things into the real world at such low cost, I’m changing the motto now, and this is the official public statement. I’m officially saying, “Deploy or die.” You have to get the stuff into the real world for it to really count, and sometimes it will be large companies, and Nicholas can talk about satellites. (Applause) Thank you. But we should be getting out there ourselves and not depending on large
institutions to do it for us. So last year, we sent a bunch
of students to Shenzhen, and they sat on the factory floors with the innovators in Shenzhen, and it was amazing. What was happening there was you would have these manufacturing devices, and they weren’t making prototypes or PowerPoints. They were fiddling with the manufacturing equipment and innovating right on the
manufacturing equipment. The factory was in the designer, and the designer was literally in the factory. And so what you would do is, you’d go down to the stalls and you would see these cell phones. So instead of starting little websites like the kids in Palo Alto do, the kids in Shenzhen make new cell phones. They make new cell phones like kids in Palo Alto make websites, and so there’s a rainforest of innovation going on in the cell phone. What they do is, they make a cell phone, go down to the stall, they sell some, they look at the other kids’ stuff, go up, make a couple thousand more, go down. Doesn’t this sound like a software thing? It sounds like agile software development, A/B testing and iteration, and what we thought you could only do with software kids in Shenzhen are doing this in hardware. My next fellow, I hope, is going to be one of these innovators from Shenzhen. And so what you see is that is pushing innovation to the edges. We talk about 3D printers and stuff like that, and that’s great, but this is Limor. She is one of our favorite graduates, and she is standing in front of a Samsung Techwin Pick and Place Machine. This thing can put 23,000 components per hour onto an electronics board. This is a factory in a box. So what used to take a factory full of workers working by hand in this little box in New York, she’s able to have effectively — She doesn’t actually have to go to Shenzhen to do this manufacturing. She can buy this box and she can manufacture it. So manufacturing, the cost of innovation, the cost of prototyping, distribution,
manufacturing, hardware, is getting so low that innovation is being pushed to the edges and students and startups are being able to build it. This is a recent thing, but this will happen and this will change just like it did with software. Sorona is a DuPont process that uses a genetically engineered microbe to turn corn sugar into polyester. It’s 30 percent more efficient
than the fossil fuel method, and it’s much better for the environment. Genetic engineering and bioengineering are creating a whole bunch of great new opportunities for chemistry, for computation, for memory. We will probably be doing a lot,
obviously doing health things, but we will probably be growing chairs and buildings soon. The problem is, Sorona costs
about 400 million dollars and took seven years to build. It kind of reminds you of the old mainframe days. The thing is, the cost of innovation in bioengineering is also going down. This is desktop gene sequencer. It used to cost millions and millions
of dollars to sequence genes. Now you can do it on a desktop like this, and kids can do this in dorm rooms. This is Gen9 gene assembler, and so right now when you try to print a gene, what you do is somebody in a factory with pipettes puts the thing together by hand, you have one error per 100 base pairs, and it takes a long time and costs a lot of money. This new device assembles genes on a chip, and instead of one error per 100 base pairs, it’s one error per 10,000 base pairs. In this lab, we will have the world’s capacity of gene printing within a year, 200 million base pairs a year. This is kind of like when we went from transistor radios wrapped by hand to the Pentium. This is going to become the
Pentium of bioengineering, pushing bioengineering into the hands of dorm rooms and startup companies. So it’s happening in software and in hardware and bioengineering, and so this is a fundamental new
way of thinking about innovation. It’s a bottom-up innovation, it’s democratic, it’s chaotic, it’s hard to control. It’s not bad, but it’s very different, and I think that the traditional rules that we have for institutions don’t work anymore, and most of us here operate with a different set of principles. One of my favorite principles is the power of pull, which is the idea of pulling resources from the network as you need them rather than stocking them in the center and controlling everything. So in the case of the Safecast story, I didn’t know anything when
the earthquake happened, but I was able to find Sean who was the hackerspace community organizer, and Peter, the analog hardware hacker who made our first Geiger counter, and Dan, who built the Three Mile Island monitoring system after the
Three Mile Island meltdown. And these people I wouldn’t have been able to find beforehand and probably were better that I found them just in time from the network. I’m a three-time college dropout, so learning over education is very near and dear to my heart, but to me, education is what people do to you and learning is what you do to yourself. (Applause) And it feels like, and I’m biased, it feels like they’re trying to make you memorize the whole encyclopedia before
they let you go out and play, and to me, I’ve got Wikipedia on my cell phone, and it feels like they assume you’re going to be on top of some mountain all by yourself with a number 2 pencil trying to figure out what to do when in fact you’re always going to be connected, you’re always going to have friends, and you can pull Wikipedia
up whenever you need it, and what you need to learn is how to learn. In the case of Safecast, a bunch of amateurs when we started three years ago, I would argue that we probably as a group know more than any other organization about how to collect data and publish data and do citizen science. Compass over maps. So this one, the idea is that the cost of writing a plan or mapping something is getting so expensive and it’s not very accurate or useful. So in the Safecast story, we
knew we needed to collect data, we knew we wanted to publish the data, and instead of trying to come up with the exact plan, we first said, oh, let’s get Geiger counters. Oh, they’ve run out. Let’s build them. There aren’t enough sensors. Okay, then we can make a mobile Geiger counter. We can drive around. We can get volunteers. We don’t have enough money. Let’s Kickstarter it. We could not have planned this whole thing, but by having a very strong compass, we eventually got to where we were going, and to me it’s very similar to
agile software development, but this idea of compasses is very important. So I think the good news is that even though the world is extremely complex, what you need to do is very simple. I think it’s about stopping this notion that you need to plan everything, you need to stock everything, and you need to be so prepared, and focus on being connected, always learning, fully aware, and super present. So I don’t like the word “futurist.” I think we should be now-ists, like we are right now. Thank you. (Applause)

Author:

75 thoughts on “Joi Ito: Want to innovate? Become a “now-ist””

  • "Education is what people do to you.
    Learning is what you do to yourself."

    Our existing education system and its educators need a complete revamp.

  • Malcolm Pagett says:

    "Education is what people do to you. Learning is what you do to yourself"…Well, I've got myself a new motto.

  • Don Romano's Music says:

    He's from MIT. That alone is going to make people pay attention to him when he tries to reach them. This is basically a talk about new conveniences for privileged people.

  • Myvanwy Calista says:

    The idea is basically this – we have the infrastructure, the basic resources and the knowhow is freely accessble. Now use that to do the thing that you need done.
    It's kinda like how things were before the industrial revolution. You knew how to run a farm, and how to handle kattle, and how cobble and thatch roof, and what you needed was to keep your domain, your land, your home in good shape. You had the knowhow, the resources and a compass.

    I'm not saying it's not like that anymore, or that it was exclusivelly like that everywhere all the time, but new industrialisation required a lot of infrastructure that just. wasn't. there. And so companies could make lukrative deals based on what was needed for the industrialised world. And now it's changing again, to where we have the basic infrastructure.

    I think, anyway.

  • Ana Bertha Ramos Seto says:

    THE INNOVATE IS LEARNING OVER EDUCATION, THE INNOVATE IS COMPASS OVER MAPS, THE INNOVATE IS CHANGE CREATIVE NEWS PICTURES, NEWS PRODUCTS IS THE INNOVATE IS MORE AND MUCH MORE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Charles Reese says:

    Great video and I believe the trends are real. I just hope that when it comes to genetic engineering we remember the value of institutions.

  • domitry jobby says:

    i love internet, i learn much more things on the inthernet that on school, because internet gave me the opportunity to acces all kinds of information and to study what i was ineresting in. The school force childrens to study things that they dont like and for the most part are usless.

  • Heard this idea a few years back. A group of engineers and techs get together to build a product. They are all self employed. When the project is done they disband and go work on other project teams. Could be on more then one project at a time. At the time the concept was called " The Virtual Corporation ".1990-ish. Old fashion ' Guilds '.Hire accounting teams.  No bosses, no need. The Internet was to be a multi phase of 4 or so, lolo Phase 1 was hardware infrastructure Phase 2 speed and storage volume. Phase 3 everything is E files and E transactions, done, and now Virtual Engineering Teams for Hire or their own designs do-ers.  This is it. Very cost effective. Traditional corporation is obsolete. 

  • Typical engineer thinking: capability based development. All well and good but if you havent done your market research you end up making products there is no demand for.

  • lee comstock says:

    As with a lot of TED talks, I like what's being said but at the same time it's not very controversial, just kind of riding the hype of new technologies. 

  • Kevin Correia says:

    Fresh ideas on innovation. 

    My favs include:
    Rainforest of innovation.
    Pull over push.
    Education is what people do to you. Learning is what you do to yourself.
    Compass over maps.

  • Totally agree with what he said about education, I find that I am better at learning things on my own that I enjoy rather than having a system telling me what I have to know.

  • WHOA! WHOA! WHOA! I will not tolerate citizens doing things without government control and oversight!! I am terrified of the future and I will not have people doing things that I don't feel like I'm controlling.

    I find all of this unacceptable. 

    What a great talk.

  • 2:13 He said the government wasn't capable of doing what you did and I find that very hard to believe, especially if their own citizens were able to do it. Not to mention, why was the first thing you did when you heard about the nuclear explosion was go on the internet and talk to other people? Why wouldn't you fly to Japan right away and check on your family first? No offense, but I feel like your priorities are backwards. Don't get me wrong, you went to MIT and I respect you for your knowledge, it's just that your ideals are messed up!

  • This guy is basically saying towards the end that we shouldn't learn things because we can consult sources on the internet? Does he realize how limiting that thought process is?? What if you lose access to the internet? What if you actually have to think for yourself? gasp

    And this is coming from a guy who is on the internet all the time. I have adapted to it, seeing as I have been raised with the idea of the internet and globalization as positive concepts. Don't let the internet limit you just because you're lazy/impatient. School is important, learning abstract things and making connections you won't make autonomously is important!

  • The comments issued in this video are much more wise than the talk. 
    Millions of students have to go through conventional education (dropout is not a choice for most) – only a handful may shine by their sheer intellect (coupled with opportunity at the right time). That does not mean that amateurs will succeed all the time. And conventional theorists are all nonsense.
    But at least the talk is a bit better than the stupid Maths TEDs that I watched today.

  • This is a genuinely interesting and probably important TED talk. It describes the birth of SafeCast and how a bunch of really smart people with a collection of essential skills quickly solved a series of serious problems as they emerged, to collaborate via the internet to create what I consider to be the most significant citizen science project in history. 

    He extrapolates this innovation model into some areas that I am not comfortable with at all, because it assumes that young people – with the help of the internet and maker-spaces and dorm-room gene sequencers – can create innovative solutions to complex ill-defined problems. 

    In many ways Ito and I take the same approach to innovation – I totally agree with "deploy or perish" and I totally agree on the premise that almost all we need to know is where we are trying to go and how to find the answers we need along the way. Compass over map. And that learning IS what we do, both to and for ourselves. 

    Unfortunately, I do NOT see this happening smoothly, or happening without a terrifying explosion of unimaginable, unintended and probably unmanageable consequences.  Because what I call "wisdom" is not hardwired into the feedback loop. It is missing from the infinite now. I look at buildings designed by young architects and user interfaces designed by young designers, and I almost always end up shaking my head: the verdict = they have simply not LIVED long enough to be doing that kind of work unsupervised.   

    Three and a half years ago I was exploring teaching physics to high school students using Input Output modeling and LCA and EROEI and the adventure started with a direct challenge to the Socratic method and what I saw as its premise, that I saw as fatally flawed, that the teacher is qualified to list or to rank-order the problems that need to be solved, or the tools to use to solve them, or even to evaluate the solutions developed. 

    And yet somehow we need to get past the infinite now, and connect to the past, the same way that Richard Feynman's blackboard reminds us that we DO need to know how problems have been solved in the past if we are to design better solutions in the future.  

    I say that from the POV of someone who has spent most of his adult life innovating, because I did not see the majority of the problems around me as solved, or solvable using the tools that I saw being deployed in an effort to solve them. And yet, I still look back through my notebooks and I shake my head at the foolishness of an awful lot of what I see.

  • While the actual subject material is interesting, it doesn't apply to most, but what does is his broadening of the subject near the end, introducing now-ism, something that applies to us on a personal level; that people shouldn't live for the future, but the now. And that's an idea worth spreading.

    On the same token, we could've heard the same thing from any middle-ager: "Want to live? Become a now-ist".

  • Main takeaways:Pull resources to you when you need themKeep self learningKnow your direction and improvise based on that
    Be aware and innovate for the present.

  • it just sounded like he was spewing out random facts and ideas but i didnt grasp the purpose of the talk. Is all he was trying to say is to live in the now and not worry so much about planning and being prepared for everything? Thats all i got from this.

  • Nathan ObJective says:

    What he said is absolutely true. I can even go on to add that self-learning is all about self-motivation and modern education, modern society/media, is trying to kill it quietly. At least for the average families.

    I'm from just some average University in New Zealand and was able to make contact with top engineers from many many great companies in USA/EU/Asia & professors and PhD..from universities around the world just by googling, emailing & phone, when I needed to develop a new product.

    It's all about attraction, you have to pull knowledge & know-how in and then you find yourself surrounded by experts & people that supports what you do. It's not about you finding people, it's ideas & ideals attracting each other.

    Be the know-how yourself first and by asking the right questions to the right people you can get to anywhere, just like Elon Musk.

  • 鉄緑会星人 says:

    この人の同じ国籍を持っていることが誇らしい。
    自分も彼のようになりたいと思い、もっと勉強しなければいけないと思った。

  • Anyone see a (ted?) talk where they mention a public/citizen science project in astronomy? He mentions how the astronomical data can be downloaded and run thru their open-source python code to verify their published results? I've searched the research papers ('survey paper') thru like minded sites, but can't seem to find the project nor the video (openastronomy, center for open science, plos, SSRN, TrialApp, biorxiv, arxiv, repec, doaj, unpaywall, f1000, Sci-Hub, Meta.org, DNASimple etc)

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